Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Kelly criterion

I first read this in 'The Dhandho Investor'
For those who are mathematically inclined. This is a rousing topic.

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Lakshmi Machine Works

Lakshmi Machine Works

Talk about companies with fine moats and LMW cannot be far behind. Okay what is the moat? LMW is a practical monopoly in the textile machineries market in India as far as i know - It holds like 80% of the market share. It's been in the business for a loong time now. It's ROCE is something phenomenal. LMW is a debt free company to boot. It is currently selling at a discount to its book value. The free cash flows per share in the next five-ten years should be at least three times the current market price IMO.

Check out a businessworld article on LMW sometime back, aptly titled the survivor!

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Sanjay Bakshi articles

Sanjay Bakshi, who writes some interesting articles for Outlook profit has posted some of those below:
http://www.sanjaybakshi.net/Sanjay_Bakshi/Articles.html

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Vakrangee

I am not sure whats the deal in Vakrangee software.

Figure this. The company's market capitalization is @ Rs.50 odd crores. Almost nil debt. And the company has declared an operating profit of about 100 odd crores last year. Whats more the company has an operating income of more than 50 crores in the six months ending Sep.30 2008. They also hold an investment worth Rs. 50 odd crores.

I understand there is no such thing as a risk-less investment but the odds of losing any in shares like Vakranjee should be way below any other investments that i can think of.

Sunday, January 4, 2009

Finolex cables

Finolex cables.

The current market price per share is Rs.25 and the current market capitalization is Rs.390 crores. A month before, it was trading at about 19 Rs. per share. The deal is, about 316 crores of that capitalization is covered by Finolex's investment value in the balance sheet. So essentially, we get the entire business for about Rs. 290 crores (which is the debt obligation).

When a business generates positive cash flows and earns an operating profit of about 100 odd crores a year, i would not be too worried about a Rs.290 crore debt.

Finolex's return on Net Operating Assets ( Net Profit divided by Fixed + Net current Assets) is about 20%.

Just to add more, Finolex's book value stands at 41 Rs per share.

To me this is a neat value story. The entire market wants to run hoping they get the next multi-baggers and in the process they ignore the certain 50 percentagers.